ROSEMONT, Ill. (AP) -- Listening to Paul Molitor, baseball's ninth work stoppage since 1972 appears unavoidable.þþ``I'm not really confident because I've seen it in the past,'' he said Sunday in Milwaukee as the sport entered the All-Star break.þþThe union's executive board was to meet Monday in this Chicago suburb and was likely to discuss a walkout. Players fear owners will change baseball's economic rules after the postseason, and the union's most likely defense is an August strike -- replicating what happened in 1994.þþ``From everything I've heard, we're not going to set a strike date tomorrow,'' Arizona pitcher Curt Schilling said Sunday. ``We're just going to give authority to perhaps do something in the future.''þþIn 1994, players met in Pittsburgh on the day before the All-Star break and didn't set a strike date. Seventeen days later, on July 28, they called for an Aug. 12 walkout. The strike lasted 232 days and wiped out the World Series for the first time since 1904.þþAttendance never fully recovered, dropping from 31,612 per game in 1994 to 25,260 the following year. This year's average is about 27,800, down about 5 1/2 percent from last season.þþ``If something were to happen and there would be a work stoppage, in our careers the game would never be the same,'' Schilling said. ``I'm 35 years old. I want to play five or six more years. I don't want to play five or six more years in front of 7,000 people.''þþCommissioner Bud Selig, who has led the owners in negotiations for nearly two decades, says the 30 major league teams combined for a $232 million operating loss last year. Concerned that large-market clubs can vastly outspend their rivals -- such as the Selig family's Milwaukee Brewers -- he has proposed that teams increase the percentage of locally generated revenue they share from 20 percent to 50 percent.þþHe also wants to slow the rise in player salaries, which have climbed from an average of $51,500 in 1976 -- the last season before free agency -- to an average of $2.38 million on opening day this year. To put a drag on salaries, Selig proposed a 50 percent luxury tax on the portions of payrolls above $98 million,þþ``I'm always of the opinion that you can look up quotes from old labor negotiations from the current ones back into the days of commissioner (Kenesaw Mountain) Landis, and you might as well just use the same quotes because the issues are usually the same,'' said Molitor, manager of the U.S. team in Sunday's All-Star Futures Game.þþThe All-Star game usually is a midsummer celebration, but this year the pastime is overshadowed by talk of a possible strike, steroid use, the death last month of St. Louis pitcher Darryl Kile and Friday's death of Hall of Famer Ted Williams.þþAdmissions of steroid use by former MVPs Jose Canseco and Ken Caminiti is another hot topic.þþ``Obviously, steroids have become a major public issue, and the public is going to want to answers on that, so we're going to have to discuss the whole idea of drug testing,'' Tampa Bay catcher John Flaherty said.þþ``We're also going to be talking about whether a strike would be beneficial and find out what the feeling of the group is going to be on that. And if a strike is going to be beneficial, then we're going to have to throw around some dates that you would think would be the most opportune time to do it.''þþThus far, the sides haven't questioned each other's solidarity, a marked change from past negotiations. Selig and union head Donald Fehr at this point appear to have near-total backing from their constituents.þþBut the sides question each other's proposals and motives. The history of 36 years of legal fights frames the talks.þþ``The fact that we've never had an agreement without a work stoppage speaks for itself,'' said Atlanta pitcher Tom Glavine, the NL player representative. ``For whatever reason, there's obvious distrust on our side towards them. I think there's equal distrust from them towards us.''þþSelig and Fehr have had a relationship that has ranged from acrimony to cool contempt. Molitor, who knows both of them well, doesn't foresee easy solutions.þþ``There's an element of mistrust there,'' he said. ``There's definitely something there from the history and the conflicts that has taken a toll on the relationship.''þ
Source: NY Times
