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U.S. Home Prices Fall Slightly in November

  • 01-29-2014
Home prices in the nation's largest cities declined slightly in November from the previous month, a sign of typical seasonal slowing in the fall, a closely watched gauge showed.þThe S&P/Case-Shiller index of 20 large U.S. metropolitan areas, released Tuesday, fell 0.1% from October. That's the first decline since November 2012.þPrices were still 13.7% higher than the same month a year earlier, reflecting rapid price gains in the first half of 2013. November's annual rise was the largest since February 2006.þDavid M. Blitzer, chairman of the index committee at S&P Dow Jones Indices, called November a ÿgood month for home prices,ÿ noting the strong year-over-year price appreciation. ÿPrices typically weaken as we move closer to the winter,ÿ he said in a statement.þPrices in the Los Angeles metro, which includes Orange County, rose 0.1% compared with October, while San Diego prices were flat. San Francisco climbed 0.4% after a slight decline a month earlier.þWestern metros continue to post the largest annual gains. Prices in Las Vegas rose 27.3% compared with November 2012; in San Francisco, 23.2%; Los Angeles, 21.6%; and San Diego, 18.7%.þBut the housing market downshifted last summer as higher mortgage rates and prices hammered affordability — underscoring how income growth has failed to keep pace with home prices.þThe upcoming spring home buying season will provide a stronger signal into the market's health and future price appreciation.þMost economists expect price increases, although at a more moderate pace than 2013.þAverage home prices across the 20 large metro areas have now reached their mid-2004 levels. Dallas prices rose 9.9% compared with a year earlier, the largest annual gain since it debuted on the index in 2000. Dallas and Denver are the only cities to have surpassed their bubble peaks.þThe Case-Shiller index, created by economists Karl E. Case and Robert J. Shiller, is widely considered the most reliable read on home values. The housing index compares the latest sales of detached houses with previous sales, and accounts for factors such as remodeling that might affect a house's sale price over time. The gauge, however, uses a three-month moving average and lags other indicators.þNine cities posted price gains from October, the Case-Shiller index showed. Los Angeles, Las Vegas, Phoenix, Miami and Tampa, Fla., have seen 12 or more straight month-over-month increases.þBut new home construction should help ease the tight inventories driving up prices, lowering annual price appreciation into the ÿhigh single digitsÿ this year, IHS Global Insight economists said in an emailed analysis.þþ

Source: Los Angeles Times